Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.005253 0.005814 0.006422 0.007131 0.007939 0.008833 0.009901
2025-07-13 0.004330 0.005096 0.005992 0.007123 0.008529 0.010231 0.012474
2025-07-20 0.003890 0.004768 0.005848 0.007291 0.009195 0.011659 0.015152
2025-07-27 0.003485 0.004406 0.005585 0.007228 0.009504 0.012612 0.017293
2025-08-03 0.003193 0.004145 0.005403 0.007224 0.009856 0.013626 0.019630
2025-08-10 0.002931 0.003889 0.005193 0.007142 0.010066 0.014434 0.021751
2025-08-17 0.002750 0.003725 0.005087 0.007185 0.010447 0.015525 0.024463
2025-08-24 0.002559 0.003528 0.004912 0.007102 0.010615 0.016286 0.026728
2025-08-31 0.002357 0.003298 0.004668 0.006885 0.010538 0.016626 0.028290
2025-09-07 0.002230 0.003168 0.004560 0.006867 0.010776 0.017517 0.030993
2025-09-14 0.002171 0.003136 0.004599 0.007083 0.011427 0.019203 0.035519
2025-09-21 0.002042 0.002985 0.004439 0.006956 0.011462 0.019766 0.037864
2025-09-28 0.001914 0.002833 0.004274 0.006818 0.011486 0.020357 0.040487
2025-10-05 0.001823 0.002734 0.004188 0.006811 0.011756 0.021476 0.044553
2025-10-12 0.001771 0.002695 0.004197 0.006970 0.012355 0.023341 0.050792
2025-10-19 0.001684 0.002592 0.004091 0.006910 0.012516 0.024309 0.055052
2025-10-26 0.001615 0.002513 0.004019 0.006906 0.012788 0.025554 0.060339
2025-11-02 0.001539 0.002419 0.003914 0.006828 0.012896 0.026442 0.064875
2025-11-09 0.001487 0.002364 0.003873 0.006869 0.013258 0.027980 0.071698
2025-11-16 0.001422 0.002280 0.003776 0.006791 0.013351 0.028879 0.076854
2025-11-23 0.001343 0.002168 0.003621 0.006585 0.013138 0.028986 0.079544
2025-11-30 0.001295 0.002110 0.003561 0.006568 0.013353 0.030222 0.086337
2025-12-07 0.001280 0.002108 0.003607 0.006773 0.014107 0.033013 0.099490